如何利用股价波动和时间流逝赚钱？

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很多新手以为股票赚钱只有一种方式买入

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然后等它大涨

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但更成熟的投资者会知道

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市场里至少有两条更稳定的现金流

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第一利用股价在支撑位和压力位之间的波动

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低买高卖

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第二利用期权的时间价值

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通过卖出备兑看涨和现金担保看跌收取权利金

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这期视频不是教你一夜暴富

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也不是让你裸卖期权赌命

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我们要讲清楚三件事

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原理是什么信息

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去哪里找

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具体怎么操作

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你看完以后

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至少应该知道自己每天该看哪些数据

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在哪些位置考虑买入

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在哪些位置考虑卖出

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什么时候适合卖

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靠什么时候适合卖put

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先讲最底层的逻辑

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股票市场不是一条直线

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而是经常上下摆动

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很多价格区域会反复出现买盘和卖盘

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价格跌到某些地方买的人变多

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这叫支撑

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价格涨到某些地方卖的人变多

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这叫压力

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新手可以把骨架想象成一颗球

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支撑位向地板球跌到这里可能被弹起来

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压力位向天花板

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球长到这里可能被压下来

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但注意地板可能被砸穿

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天花板也可能被突破

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所以支撑和压力不是魔法

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只是概率工具

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靠波动赚钱

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就是在价格靠近支撑位时分批低吸

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在价格靠近压力位时分批卖出或减仓

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你赚的不是公司未来10年的成长

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而是市场情绪来回摆动时

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中间那一段价格差

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但只会低买高卖还不够

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因为有些时候

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你本来就愿意在更低价格买入股票

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也本来就愿意在更高价格卖出股票

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这个时候

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期权就可以把你的买入计划和卖出计划

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变成一笔有权利金的交易

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期权价格大致可以拆成两部分

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第一部分叫内在价值

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也就是期权

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如果现在到期本身已经具备的价差价值

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第二部分叫时间价值

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也就是期权价格扣除内在价值以后

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剩下的那部分

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它反映的是市场愿意为剩余期限里的波动机会

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和不确定性支付的额外权利金

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所以卖期权不是简单的卖时间

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而是卖出一份带有方向

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波动率和履约义务的风险合约

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对期权卖方来说

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时间是朋友

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只要时间一天天过去

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到期日越来越近

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期权剩余时间价值通常会衰减

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这个时间对期权价格的负贡献

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就是很多人说的FA

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卖方希望这部分价值慢慢流向自己

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但是卖期权绝对不是无脑收租

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因为期权价格还会受到股价方向

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隐含波动率和市场情绪影响

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如果股价突然暴跌或者隐含波动率突然暴涨

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你卖出的期权可能会变贵

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账户会出现浮亏

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所以最严谨的理解是卖期权不是捡钱

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而是卖保险

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别人担心下跌

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花钱买铺

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保护别人担心踏空花钱买扣机会

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你作为卖方收取权利金

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但你要承担未来履约的义务

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这套体系里

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新手最常用的三种操作

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分别是低一低买高卖

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赚价格波动的钱

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第2sell cover call简称卖cc赚持股期间的权利一金

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第3sell cash secured put

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简称卖CSP

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赚等待低价接货时的权利金

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接下来讲数据从哪里找

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第一类数据是基本面

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你必须先知道这家公司能不能长期持有

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因为卖CSP最大的风险就是股票跌下来以后

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你被迫买入一家自己根本不想拥有的公司

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第二类数据是技术图表

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你要在图上找到支撑位和压力位

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常用工具包括trading view

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Thinkers

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Swim

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Ib care

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附图

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老虎moo moo webo

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你重点看前高前低

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成交密集区

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长期均线和整数关口

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第三类数据是期权链

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期权链会告诉你每个到期日

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每个支行价的call和铺情况

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你要看bit it ask成交量

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未平仓量

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隐含波动率

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delta和到期日没有流动性的期权

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不要乱卖

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第四类数据是GTS

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也就是game exposure

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它用来观察期权市场里

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做市商对冲行为可能集中在哪些价格区域

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简单说GX给你的不是预测

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而是一张市场结构地图

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常见的gets工具包括spot gamma

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Pfilif

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Quantwheel

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Traitics

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Unusual

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Whales

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Option

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Strat gmmage

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以及部分券商或数据平台自带的期权分析功能

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新手不一定要全部订阅

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但至少要理解他在看什么

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新手每天看盘可以按五不走

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先看大盘

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再看个股事件

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再看技术点位

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再看期权链

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最后看guts

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不要一上来就看十几个指标

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你只需要回答

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我愿意在哪里买

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我愿意在哪里卖

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如果错了

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最多亏多少

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现在讲支撑位怎么找

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最基础的方法包括前低成交密集区

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长期均线缺口位置

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整数关口以及估值安全边际

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不要只看一根线

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最好找多个理由重合的区域

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压力位怎么找也类似

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你可以看钱高套牢密集区

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上方均线整数关口

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以及期权市场里扣未平仓量集中的执行价

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压力位的本质

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使这个区域卖盘可能变强

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CAX里最常见的几个词

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新手要先记住

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COWALL通常是上方靠仓位集中的区域

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可能成为短期压力

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put wall通常是下方put仓位集中的区域

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可能成为短期支撑

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gamma flip是市场gamma状态切换的区域

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当市场处在正GAMA环境

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做市商可能更倾向于涨了卖

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跌了买价格更容易震荡

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当市场处在负game环境

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做市商可能更倾向于涨了

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追买跌的追卖波动更容易放大

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你不需要被公示

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但要理解这个市场行为

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最适合新手的点位确认方法是三层叠加

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第一层技术图形告诉你前高前低在哪里

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第二层期权链告诉你哪里有大量未平仓量

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第三层GUS告诉你

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这些仓位可能形成什么市场结构

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举个例子

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某只股票现价100美元

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图表上90美元是前低

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期权链显示90美元put未平仓量很大

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gets也显示

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put wall在90附近

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那90附近就值得观察

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但它不是保证会反弹

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只是你可以把它纳入计划

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第一种具体操作

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低买高卖

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假设股票现价100美元

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你认为90~92是支撑区

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110是压力区

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如果股价跌到90附近

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同时基本面没有恶化

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你可以分批买入

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而不是一次性梭哈

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分批买入

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可以这样设计

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如果你总计划买100股

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不要第一笔就打满

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可以先买30股

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再跌到更好的位置

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买30股

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确认反弹以后再买40股

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这样做的目的不是买在最低点

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而是降低判断错误的成本

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低买高卖

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一定要提前写好预案

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涨到105

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要不要先卖一部分

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涨到110

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压力位

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要不要全部卖出

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跌破88

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要不要止损

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如果基本面恶化

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是不是无条件退出

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这些答案不能等亏损后再想

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第二种操作

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Sell cover call

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也就是麦背对看涨

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前提是你已经持有股票

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而且通常一张标准每股股票期权对应100股

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所以你要先有100股整数倍的正股

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才能卖对应数量的背对扣

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假设你有100股股票成本95美元

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现价100美元

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你愿意在110美元卖出

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这个时候你可以考虑卖出一张执行价

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110美元的扣

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你本来就愿意在这里卖

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现在只是先收一笔权利

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一金到期时有三种结果

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股价低于110call大概率归零

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拟保留股票和权利金

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股价接近110

234
00:09:37,860 --> 00:09:39,679
你可以平仓滚仓

235
00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:43,179
或者等到期股价高于110

236
00:09:43,179 --> 00:09:46,990
股票可能被按110美元卖出

237
00:09:47,309 --> 00:09:51,120
cc的本质是一个带租金的限价卖单

238
00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:53,320
你愿意在110卖出

239
00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:55,649
现在市场先给你一笔钱

240
00:09:55,649 --> 00:09:59,710
但它的代价是股票如果暴涨到130

241
00:09:59,710 --> 00:10:02,549
你可能只能赚到110以上

242
00:10:02,549 --> 00:10:06,429
有限的一段后面的涨幅与你无关

243
00:10:06,750 --> 00:10:09,269
所以CCC适合这些情况

244
00:10:09,269 --> 00:10:11,629
你已经持有100股或更多

245
00:10:11,629 --> 00:10:13,710
你不介意在目标价卖出

246
00:10:13,710 --> 00:10:16,279
股价接近压力位或call w

247
00:10:16,279 --> 00:10:18,700
你认为短期大涨概率不高

248
00:10:18,700 --> 00:10:23,429
你愿意用一部分上行空间换取当下的权利金

249
00:10:23,789 --> 00:10:25,190
第三种操作

250
00:10:25,190 --> 00:10:26,769
Sell cash secured put

251
00:10:26,769 --> 00:10:28,669
也就是现金担保卖出

252
00:10:28,669 --> 00:10:31,250
看跌前提是你有现金

253
00:10:31,250 --> 00:10:35,230
而且真心愿意在更低价格买入这只股票

254
00:10:35,230 --> 00:10:36,529
他不是裸卖

255
00:10:36,529 --> 00:10:38,090
也不是赌不会跌

256
00:10:38,090 --> 00:10:40,710
而是你有钱准备接货

257
00:10:41,230 --> 00:10:43,690
假设股票现价100美元

258
00:10:43,690 --> 00:10:45,929
你愿意90美元买入

259
00:10:45,929 --> 00:10:49,679
你可以卖出一张执行价90美元的put

260
00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:51,940
因为一张合约对应100股

261
00:10:51,940 --> 00:10:54,059
你要准备90×100

262
00:10:54,059 --> 00:10:57,559
也就是9000美元的买股义务

263
00:10:57,849 --> 00:11:00,688
到期时同样有三种结果

264
00:11:00,688 --> 00:11:02,428
股价高于90

265
00:11:02,428 --> 00:11:03,969
put大概率归零

266
00:11:03,969 --> 00:11:05,720
你保留权利金

267
00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:07,399
股价接近90

268
00:11:07,399 --> 00:11:10,779
你可以平仓滚仓或接受指派

269
00:11:10,779 --> 00:11:12,559
股价低于90

270
00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:17,049
你可能被要求按90美元买入100股

271
00:11:17,370 --> 00:11:21,279
CSP的本质是一个带租金的限价买单

272
00:11:21,279 --> 00:11:23,600
你本来就想90美元买入

273
00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:26,720
现在通过卖put先收一笔权利金

274
00:11:26,720 --> 00:11:28,919
如果最后没有跌到90

275
00:11:28,919 --> 00:11:30,519
你没有买到股票

276
00:11:30,519 --> 00:11:32,919
但你保留了权利金

277
00:11:33,389 --> 00:11:36,570
但CSP最大的风险也很清楚

278
00:11:36,570 --> 00:11:39,250
如果股票从100跌到60

279
00:11:39,250 --> 00:11:42,059
你仍然可能要按90买入

280
00:11:42,059 --> 00:11:44,399
即使你收了两美元权利金

281
00:11:44,399 --> 00:11:46,740
实际成本大概降到88

282
00:11:46,740 --> 00:11:49,200
也仍然面对明显浮亏

283
00:11:49,200 --> 00:11:54,078
所以不要因为权力金高就卖自己接不起的put

284
00:11:54,438 --> 00:11:56,698
CCSP适合这些情况

285
00:11:56,698 --> 00:11:58,899
你真心愿意拥有这家公司

286
00:11:58,899 --> 00:12:01,460
你愿意在执行价买入100股

287
00:12:01,460 --> 00:12:02,960
你有足够现金

288
00:12:02,960 --> 00:12:04,419
不靠融资硬扛

289
00:12:04,419 --> 00:12:06,799
股价接近支撑位或pow

290
00:12:06,799 --> 00:12:09,200
你能接受被套以后继续持有

291
00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:13,220
接下来奖现金和保证金

292
00:12:13,220 --> 00:12:15,039
低买高卖最简单

293
00:12:15,039 --> 00:12:18,240
你买多少股就占用多少现金

294
00:12:18,240 --> 00:12:22,500
股票100美元买50股就是5000美元

295
00:12:22,500 --> 00:12:25,429
买100股就是1万美元

296
00:12:25,429 --> 00:12:26,990
使用融资买入

297
00:12:26,990 --> 00:12:31,500
还要额外考虑融资利息和强平风险

298
00:12:31,860 --> 00:12:36,818
cover code的资金占用本质上是那100股股票本身

299
00:12:36,818 --> 00:12:39,798
如果股票现价100美元一张

300
00:12:39,798 --> 00:12:41,698
cc背后对应100股

301
00:12:41,698 --> 00:12:44,750
也就是大约1万美元股票市值

302
00:12:44,750 --> 00:12:47,610
你卖靠收的权利金会进入账户

303
00:12:47,610 --> 00:12:50,879
但上方收益被执行价限制

304
00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:52,159
Cash secure

305
00:12:52,159 --> 00:12:55,679
put的资金要求是执行价乘以100股

306
00:12:55,679 --> 00:12:57,460
执行价90美元

307
00:12:57,460 --> 00:12:59,460
一张破对应9000美元

308
00:12:59,460 --> 00:13:02,450
买入义务执行价150美元

309
00:13:02,450 --> 00:13:04,730
一张破对应1万5000美元

310
00:13:04,730 --> 00:13:07,610
买入义务账户只有1万美元

311
00:13:07,610 --> 00:13:10,450
就不要卖1万5000美元义务的put

312
00:13:10,450 --> 00:13:13,230
it保证金账户里

313
00:13:13,230 --> 00:13:17,190
有些券商会允许你用更少购买力卖put

314
00:13:17,190 --> 00:13:18,690
但对新手来说

315
00:13:18,690 --> 00:13:20,909
我不建议把这当成福利

316
00:13:20,909 --> 00:13:22,570
因为行情大跌时

317
00:13:22,570 --> 00:13:24,529
保证金要求可能上升

318
00:13:24,529 --> 00:13:26,610
你不仅要面对股票下跌

319
00:13:26,610 --> 00:13:30,490
还要面对追加保证金和被动平仓

320
00:13:30,860 --> 00:13:35,960
更稳健的做法是把CSP当成全额现金担保策略

321
00:13:35,960 --> 00:13:37,279
你卖一张put

322
00:13:37,279 --> 00:13:41,889
就假设自己真的要拿出执行价乘以100股的钱

323
00:13:41,889 --> 00:13:43,710
这样哪怕被指派

324
00:13:43,710 --> 00:13:45,690
你也只是按计划买入

325
00:13:45,690 --> 00:13:48,970
而不是被市场逼着爆仓

326
00:13:49,299 --> 00:13:51,360
把cc和CSP连起来

327
00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:53,860
就是很多人说的will有策略

328
00:13:53,860 --> 00:13:57,580
第一步选择你愿意长期持有的标的

329
00:13:57,580 --> 00:14:00,679
第二步在支撑位附近卖CSP

330
00:14:00,679 --> 00:14:01,659
第三步

331
00:14:01,659 --> 00:14:02,879
如果被指派

332
00:14:02,879 --> 00:14:04,519
就买入100股

333
00:14:04,519 --> 00:14:05,559
第四步

334
00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:06,840
拿到股票以后

335
00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:10,519
在压力位附近卖cc wave

336
00:14:10,519 --> 00:14:11,698
听起来很漂亮

337
00:14:11,698 --> 00:14:13,350
但不是永动机

338
00:14:13,350 --> 00:14:16,850
它的风险是你可能在暴跌中接到股票

339
00:14:16,850 --> 00:14:18,830
然后股票继续下跌

340
00:14:18,830 --> 00:14:20,710
也可能在大涨前卖出

341
00:14:20,710 --> 00:14:22,808
靠结果股票被叫走

342
00:14:22,808 --> 00:14:24,969
后面大涨与你无关

343
00:14:24,969 --> 00:14:27,028
它解决的是纪律问题

344
00:14:27,028 --> 00:14:29,149
不是消灭风险

345
00:14:29,600 --> 00:14:32,490
特殊事件期要格外小心

346
00:14:32,490 --> 00:14:37,070
财报乙息FDA审批重大诉讼监管消息

347
00:14:37,070 --> 00:14:40,559
产品发布都会让隐含波动率变高

348
00:14:40,559 --> 00:14:42,539
权利金看起来很肥

349
00:14:42,539 --> 00:14:45,799
但背后往往是更大的跳空风险

350
00:14:45,799 --> 00:14:49,169
新手不要只被高权利金吸引

351
00:14:49,730 --> 00:14:52,570
选标的时先问自己一个问题

352
00:14:52,570 --> 00:14:54,269
如果明天被指派

353
00:14:54,269 --> 00:14:56,490
我愿不愿意持有他三个月

354
00:14:56,490 --> 00:14:58,470
半年甚至几年

355
00:14:58,470 --> 00:15:00,309
如果答案是否定的

356
00:15:00,309 --> 00:15:02,509
就不要因为权力金高而卖

357
00:15:02,509 --> 00:15:05,850
put期权策略的地基不是技巧

358
00:15:05,850 --> 00:15:07,210
而是标的质量

359
00:15:08,690 --> 00:15:11,279
到期日和执行价也要保守

360
00:15:11,279 --> 00:15:13,019
新手可以优先观察

361
00:15:13,019 --> 00:15:15,929
30~45天到期的虚值期权

362
00:15:15,929 --> 00:15:19,029
因为这个期限通常时间价值比较明显

363
00:15:19,029 --> 00:15:20,909
也不至于暴露太久

364
00:15:20,909 --> 00:15:22,309
直行价要放在

365
00:15:22,309 --> 00:15:25,549
你愿意买入或愿意卖出的价格附近

366
00:15:25,549 --> 00:15:28,950
而不是为了权利金贴近现价

367
00:15:29,370 --> 00:15:31,309
流动性也很重要

368
00:15:31,309 --> 00:15:33,370
beat和us s价差太大

369
00:15:33,370 --> 00:15:36,399
说明你进去容易出来可能很贵

370
00:15:36,399 --> 00:15:38,919
成交量和未平仓量太小

371
00:15:38,919 --> 00:15:42,090
说明这个执行价没有多少人交易

372
00:15:42,090 --> 00:15:44,009
新手宁可少赚一点

373
00:15:44,009 --> 00:15:47,730
也不要在流动性差的合约里被卡住

374
00:15:48,100 --> 00:15:50,340
卖出期权后不是放着

375
00:15:50,340 --> 00:15:52,639
不管接近直行驾驶

376
00:15:52,639 --> 00:15:54,759
你要决定是平仓止盈

377
00:15:54,759 --> 00:15:56,839
止损还是滚仓到更远

378
00:15:56,839 --> 00:15:59,120
到7日还是接受指派

379
00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:01,399
不要等到最后一刻才发现

380
00:16:01,399 --> 00:16:04,200
自己根本不知道该怎么办

381
00:16:04,649 --> 00:16:06,590
把GX放进操作里

382
00:16:06,590 --> 00:16:07,870
可以这样用

383
00:16:07,870 --> 00:16:10,929
价格靠近put wall和技术支撑时

384
00:16:10,929 --> 00:16:13,849
优先观察低吸或co CSP

385
00:16:13,849 --> 00:16:16,928
价格靠近COWALL和技术压力时

386
00:16:16,928 --> 00:16:21,970
优先观察减仓止盈或CCC跌破gamma flip后

387
00:16:21,970 --> 00:16:24,509
要小心波动放大

388
00:16:24,789 --> 00:16:27,230
如果市场处在正gamma区域

389
00:16:27,230 --> 00:16:29,240
更适合做区间思维

390
00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:32,700
因为价格更可能在支撑和压力之间震荡

391
00:16:32,700 --> 00:16:35,039
卖方策略相对更舒服

392
00:16:35,039 --> 00:16:36,360
但即使如此

393
00:16:36,360 --> 00:16:38,159
也不能满仓卖期权

394
00:16:38,159 --> 00:16:42,879
因为正GAMMO环境也会因为重大消息突然切换

395
00:16:43,220 --> 00:16:45,700
如果市场进入负GAMA区域

396
00:16:45,700 --> 00:16:47,990
单边波动更容易放大

397
00:16:47,990 --> 00:16:51,070
这个时候新手应该降低仓位

398
00:16:51,070 --> 00:16:52,470
缩短暴露时间

399
00:16:52,470 --> 00:16:54,659
甚至暂停卖方策略

400
00:16:54,659 --> 00:16:58,740
不要用卖put去硬接一个正在加速下跌的市场

401
00:17:00,259 --> 00:17:02,679
仓位管理可以简单分层

402
00:17:02,679 --> 00:17:06,730
小账户先模拟或只做正股和ETF

403
00:17:06,730 --> 00:17:10,910
中等账户可以做少量cc和全额现金担保

404
00:17:10,910 --> 00:17:14,588
CSP较大账户也不要满仓卖put

405
00:17:14,588 --> 00:17:16,568
而是分散到不同标的

406
00:17:16,568 --> 00:17:19,868
不同到期日和不同执行价

407
00:17:20,229 --> 00:17:22,068
如果你是完全新手

408
00:17:22,068 --> 00:17:25,859
我建议先用纸面交易或模拟盘练三个月

409
00:17:25,859 --> 00:17:27,539
每天记录支撑位

410
00:17:27,539 --> 00:17:28,299
压力位

411
00:17:28,299 --> 00:17:29,319
gets位置

412
00:17:29,319 --> 00:17:30,619
想卖的执行价

413
00:17:30,619 --> 00:17:33,210
预期权利金最坏情况

414
00:17:33,210 --> 00:17:35,650
等你连续复盘几十次以后

415
00:17:35,650 --> 00:17:38,289
再用小仓位试盘

416
00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:40,079
完整操作清单

417
00:17:40,079 --> 00:17:41,920
第一部分选标的

418
00:17:41,920 --> 00:17:45,569
只选你愿意长期持有的股票或ETF

419
00:17:45,569 --> 00:17:46,690
查事件

420
00:17:46,690 --> 00:17:48,750
确认近期有没有财报

421
00:17:48,750 --> 00:17:52,210
以息监管或诉讼划点位

422
00:17:52,210 --> 00:17:58,369
标出支撑压力前高前低均线和成交密集区

423
00:17:58,779 --> 00:18:00,180
完整操作清单

424
00:18:00,180 --> 00:18:03,619
第二部分看期权链确认执行价

425
00:18:03,619 --> 00:18:06,960
到期日流动性和隐含波动率

426
00:18:06,960 --> 00:18:11,250
看gags确认call wall put wall dema flip

427
00:18:11,250 --> 00:18:15,009
定策略支撑位附近考虑低吸或CSP

428
00:18:15,009 --> 00:18:20,259
压力位附近考虑减仓或cc完整操作清单

429
00:18:20,259 --> 00:18:21,990
第三部分算资金

430
00:18:21,990 --> 00:18:24,089
cc确认自己有100股

431
00:18:24,089 --> 00:18:24,809
Csp

432
00:18:24,809 --> 00:18:29,220
确认自己有执行价乘以100股的现金协议案

433
00:18:29,220 --> 00:18:30,420
上涨怎么办

434
00:18:30,420 --> 00:18:31,619
下跌怎么办

435
00:18:31,619 --> 00:18:32,779
横盘怎么办

436
00:18:32,779 --> 00:18:34,400
被指派怎么办

437
00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:36,059
最后记录复盘

438
00:18:36,059 --> 00:18:38,279
而不是凭感觉乱下单

439
00:18:39,134 --> 00:18:43,309
新手最常见的第一个错误是指看权利金

440
00:18:43,309 --> 00:18:44,659
不看义务

441
00:18:44,659 --> 00:18:45,959
权利金越高

442
00:18:45,959 --> 00:18:49,388
往往意味着市场认为风险越高

443
00:18:49,388 --> 00:18:52,548
如果你只问这张铺能收多少钱

444
00:18:52,548 --> 00:18:54,588
却不问自己能不能接货

445
00:18:54,588 --> 00:18:56,148
那你不是在投资

446
00:18:56,148 --> 00:18:58,749
而是在赌不会出事

447
00:18:59,049 --> 00:19:03,650
第二个错误是把支撑位当成不会跌破的铁底

448
00:19:03,650 --> 00:19:06,930
支撑位只是过去买盘较强的区域

449
00:19:06,930 --> 00:19:09,289
不代表未来一定有效

450
00:19:09,289 --> 00:19:10,809
一旦跌破支撑

451
00:19:10,809 --> 00:19:12,730
特别是跌破gamma fp

452
00:19:12,730 --> 00:19:14,049
你要先想风险

453
00:19:14,049 --> 00:19:15,529
而不是继续加仓

454
00:19:15,529 --> 00:19:17,730
证明自己正确

455
00:19:18,019 --> 00:19:21,750
第三个错误是用保证金放大CSP

456
00:19:21,750 --> 00:19:24,009
很多人账户不够现金

457
00:19:24,009 --> 00:19:26,920
却卖出远超承受能力的put

458
00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:28,819
平时看起来收益很高

459
00:19:28,819 --> 00:19:29,880
一遇到大跌

460
00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:31,740
购买力被快速吃掉

461
00:19:31,740 --> 00:19:33,539
最后不是按计划接货

462
00:19:33,539 --> 00:19:35,799
而是被迫平仓

463
00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:39,160
第四个错误是在财报前摊高

464
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:42,220
四财报前权利金确实更高

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00:19:42,220 --> 00:19:45,960
但这是因为市场在给跳空风险定价

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00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:48,619
新手如果没有事件交易经验

467
00:19:48,619 --> 00:19:53,200
不要把财报前的高权利金当成市场送钱

468
00:19:53,609 --> 00:19:56,420
最后用一个完整粒子串起来

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00:19:56,420 --> 00:19:58,980
某只股票现价100美元

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00:19:58,980 --> 00:20:00,940
你愿意90美元买入

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00:20:00,940 --> 00:20:03,469
也愿意110美元卖出

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00:20:03,469 --> 00:20:06,548
90附近有技术支撑和put wall

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00:20:06,548 --> 00:20:10,049
110附近有技术压力和COWALL

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00:20:10,049 --> 00:20:13,690
这个时候你就有了清晰的交易地图

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00:20:15,130 --> 00:20:18,750
如果你现在没有股票价格跌近90支撑时

476
00:20:18,750 --> 00:20:21,930
可以考虑直接分批买入或者卖90

477
00:20:21,930 --> 00:20:24,420
port收权利金等待接货

478
00:20:24,420 --> 00:20:26,440
如果你已经持有100股

479
00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:28,680
价格涨近110压力时

480
00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:30,799
可以考虑卖110扣

481
00:20:30,799 --> 00:20:34,960
把目标卖出价变成带权利金的卖出计划

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00:20:35,439 --> 00:20:37,798
这套方法真正适合的人

483
00:20:37,798 --> 00:20:39,759
不是想一夜暴富的人

484
00:20:39,759 --> 00:20:42,719
而是想把投资变成系统的人

485
00:20:42,719 --> 00:20:45,019
你先定义买入价和卖出价

486
00:20:45,019 --> 00:20:46,398
再用支撑压力

487
00:20:46,398 --> 00:20:48,769
期权链和GX提高胜率

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00:20:48,769 --> 00:20:52,490
最后用现金和仓位管理保证自己活下来

489
00:20:52,490 --> 00:20:54,818
嗯一句话总结

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00:20:54,818 --> 00:20:57,038
低买高卖赚的是市场波动

491
00:20:57,038 --> 00:21:00,690
CCC和CCSP赚的是时间价值

492
00:21:00,690 --> 00:21:03,769
但真正决定你能不能长期赚钱的

493
00:21:03,769 --> 00:21:05,900
不是某一次权利金有多高

494
00:21:05,900 --> 00:21:07,759
而是你有没有选对标的

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00:21:07,759 --> 00:21:08,759
控制仓位

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00:21:08,759 --> 00:21:09,720
准备现金

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00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:13,900
并且在最坏情况发生时还能执行计划

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00:21:14,369 --> 00:21:18,369
本视频只用于财经教育和投资认知讨论

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00:21:18,369 --> 00:21:20,349
不构成任何投资建议

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00:21:20,349 --> 00:21:23,954
证券推荐理财建议或买卖邀约

501
00:21:24,019 --> 00:21:25,480
股票基金

502
00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:30,319
ETF期权等金融产品都有波动和亏损风险

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00:21:30,319 --> 00:21:32,299
请根据自己的现金流

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00:21:32,299 --> 00:21:33,759
风险承受能力

505
00:21:33,759 --> 00:21:37,980
账户权限和所在地法律法规独立判断

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