1
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投资不是赌博
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而是一场有准备的突击
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我是福哥
4
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最近呢有家们在福哥交流圈啊
5
00:00:06,660 --> 00:00:08,199
经常问到两只票啊
6
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福哥给大家讲一讲啊
7
00:00:10,220 --> 00:00:12,909
就是UOIA叉ti这两个啊
8
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看来有不少加盟啊
9
00:00:14,189 --> 00:00:15,308
可能去追高了
10
00:00:15,308 --> 00:00:16,748
也有可能去抄底了
11
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福哥给大给定心丸啊
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AXTI也好
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00:00:19,679 --> 00:00:20,420
AOI也好
14
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他们的长期的走势肯定是往上走的啊
15
00:00:25,489 --> 00:00:27,489
因为A叉TI也好
16
00:00:27,489 --> 00:00:28,489
AOI也好
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他是我们这轮AI基础建设的
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00:00:32,939 --> 00:00:35,380
可以说不可缺少的一个环节
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00:00:35,380 --> 00:00:37,079
AI集群扩张啊
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高速的光模快是刚需
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00:00:39,740 --> 00:00:42,939
而整个采炼最卡脖子的啊
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是磷化安
23
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就是A叉TI的啊
24
00:00:45,820 --> 00:00:49,600
所以呢如果AAI他是做下游成品光模块的话
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那A叉TI他就做这个上游核心原材料衬底
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00:00:54,700 --> 00:00:56,460
所以两者是深度绑定
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缺一不可
28
00:01:01,329 --> 00:01:02,848
AI的基础建设
29
00:01:02,848 --> 00:01:04,088
AI的发展啊
30
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离不开的两个啊非常重要的一个角色
31
00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:10,040
所以这样们从长期的需求上来说啊
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00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:13,540
他们正是在一个可以说一个风口上
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AI的高数的指数级的成长的风口上
34
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所以长期来看他们肯定会继续创新高
35
00:01:21,219 --> 00:01:24,299
今年啊AOI曾经一度涨了十倍啊
36
00:01:24,299 --> 00:01:27,340
从17块钱涨到143
37
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5月底的时候
38
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现在调整啊
39
00:01:29,739 --> 00:01:31,700
回调了将近呢50%
40
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这两天也在提问
41
00:01:33,140 --> 00:01:35,019
能不能去买新呢
42
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能不能抄底呢
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福哥觉得是可以抄底了啊
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待会福哥给大家讲讲怎么炒
45
00:01:40,459 --> 00:01:42,019
首先我们想讲AI
46
00:01:42,019 --> 00:01:46,549
他的这个3月刚刚拿上了北美超大客户啊
47
00:01:46,549 --> 00:01:49,930
这个这个1.6T的批量订单
48
00:01:49,930 --> 00:01:51,329
26年底啊
49
00:01:51,329 --> 00:01:57,379
800G月产能啊会冲到50到65万只啊
50
00:01:57,379 --> 00:02:01,390
27年底要接近百万台产能
51
00:02:01,390 --> 00:02:02,469
将来下订单呢
52
00:02:02,469 --> 00:02:06,349
微软亚马逊甲骨文这些核心的数据中心
53
00:02:06,349 --> 00:02:08,800
所以订单已经锁定了27年了
54
00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:13,400
它又是美国本土的一个光模块的一个厂商啊
55
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那政府的扶持
56
00:02:14,759 --> 00:02:16,979
这轮的AI的数据中心的
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00:02:16,979 --> 00:02:20,300
可以说源头又在美国完美的适配了北美
58
00:02:20,300 --> 00:02:23,060
因为云巨头还又可以本土采购
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这样需求规避关税壁垒
60
00:02:24,879 --> 00:02:27,979
所以AOI呢也是长期看好
61
00:02:27,979 --> 00:02:31,259
经过进了一个月的调整以后啊
62
00:02:31,259 --> 00:02:36,150
在120130啊算是基本的企稳了啊
63
00:02:36,150 --> 00:02:40,590
那接下来呢有机会啊冲击近期的180
64
00:02:40,590 --> 00:02:41,590
180上网
65
00:02:41,590 --> 00:02:43,590
那有机会继续冲击啊
66
00:02:43,590 --> 00:02:45,349
下一个啊目标位啊
67
00:02:45,349 --> 00:02:46,530
300基本面
68
00:02:46,530 --> 00:02:50,939
那我们也是长期的一个AI的发展啊
69
00:02:50,939 --> 00:02:53,560
是离不开的一个光模块厂商好
70
00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:55,680
说到这个HT i大家也看到了啊
71
00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:57,000
刚才给大家讲过了啊
72
00:02:57,000 --> 00:02:59,840
就是光模块赛道的源头要素啊
73
00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:03,969
就是HTI核心产品磷化英啊
74
00:03:03,969 --> 00:03:08,560
现在我们这个800G1.6T的高速激光器
75
00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:11,120
是必备的这个基底啊
76
00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:16,188
所以现在全球零化安供给缺口呢超70%
77
00:03:16,188 --> 00:03:17,489
所有光模块厂啊
78
00:03:17,489 --> 00:03:18,968
包括盖夫哥讲的
79
00:03:18,968 --> 00:03:23,189
AOI都要向A叉TI采购原料
80
00:03:23,189 --> 00:03:25,289
所以行业最大的瓶颈啊
81
00:03:25,289 --> 00:03:30,139
其实就在A叉TI的磷化安的称底
82
00:03:30,139 --> 00:03:31,240
所以呢为什么说呢
83
00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:33,780
短短一年曾经一度涨了十倍啊
84
00:03:33,780 --> 00:03:35,340
那现在呢这个调整啊
85
00:03:35,340 --> 00:03:36,719
我觉得是应该的啊
86
00:03:36,719 --> 00:03:37,520
调整一下
87
00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:39,240
这两天呢我们看到了啊
88
00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:40,819
也是在企稳啊
89
00:03:40,819 --> 00:03:42,139
涨了将近20%
90
00:03:42,139 --> 00:03:44,500
那么现在60~70啊
91
00:03:44,500 --> 00:03:45,579
企稳以后
92
00:03:45,579 --> 00:03:49,459
那么我们A叉TI这个磷化阴啊
93
00:03:49,459 --> 00:03:50,639
衬底之王啊
94
00:03:50,639 --> 00:03:53,318
有机会继续冲击啊
95
00:03:53,318 --> 00:03:55,378
前高110110站稳
96
00:03:55,378 --> 00:03:57,240
有机会冲击幺五
97
00:03:57,240 --> 00:03:59,639
将来呢肯定啊百亿妥妥的啊
98
00:03:59,639 --> 00:04:00,120
没问题
99
00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:01,699
只要是做光模块的
100
00:04:01,699 --> 00:04:04,080
都离不开这个A叉ti
101
00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:06,360
你就知道他的这个牛逼之处了
102
00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:10,759
AHTI也是AI发展的一个原料基石啊
103
00:04:10,759 --> 00:04:11,599
这样的角色
104
00:04:11,599 --> 00:04:14,780
所以呢将来呢副歌呢这个给大家两个啊
105
00:04:14,780 --> 00:04:17,740
AAOIA叉ti最高的不要泄气
106
00:04:17,740 --> 00:04:19,639
那会有机会创新高
107
00:04:19,639 --> 00:04:21,639
那么如果你抄底的家人们啊
108
00:04:21,639 --> 00:04:23,040
我拿住就行啊
109
00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:24,819
按照福哥给他的这个策略
110
00:04:24,819 --> 00:04:26,560
AI的发展的一个红利
111
00:04:26,560 --> 00:04:27,560
希望大家