BV1yz7E6gECe · 请不要叫我梁同学1 00:00:13,060 --> 00:00:13,660 大家好 2 00:00:13,660 --> 00:00:14,740 欢迎回到娜娜说美股 3 00:00:14,740 --> 00:00:16,760 今天是6月25号周五 4 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:19,579 昨天浓眉大眼的苹果公开踢馆 5 00:00:19,579 --> 00:00:22,640 今天亚洲科技股呢直接集体破发 6 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:24,280 一句内存太贵 7 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:27,000 让整个AI产业链开始互相甩锅 8 00:00:27,000 --> 00:00:27,929 市场担心 9 00:00:27,929 --> 00:00:31,230 如果存储芯片持续拿走越来越多的利润 10 00:00:31,230 --> 00:00:34,579 那几大云厂商最终只能放缓资本开支 11 00:00:34,579 --> 00:00:38,259 到时候倒霉的可就不仅仅是内存厂了哈 12 00:00:38,259 --> 00:00:39,840 而是整个A产业链 13 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:42,420 韩国股市呢再次被送进ICU 14 00:00:42,420 --> 00:00:43,679 COSPP综合指数 15 00:00:43,679 --> 00:00:45,880 今天盘中一度狂泻9% 16 00:00:45,880 --> 00:00:48,039 本周第二次触发熔断 17 00:00:48,039 --> 00:00:51,479 三星电子与SK海力士被砸得鼻青脸肿 18 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:54,768 顺势把美股半导体也成批拖下水 19 00:00:54,768 --> 00:00:55,689 与此同时 20 00:00:55,689 --> 00:00:58,429 另一则消息也给市场泼了一盆冷水 21 00:00:58,429 --> 00:00:59,249 昨天盘后 22 00:00:59,249 --> 00:01:01,670 纽约时报放出一篇小作文 23 00:01:01,670 --> 00:01:02,070 称 24 00:01:02,070 --> 00:01:05,030 OpenAI正在考虑将IPO推迟到明年 25 00:01:05,030 --> 00:01:07,890 公司原本计划今年下半年上市 26 00:01:07,890 --> 00:01:10,090 估值目标设定为1万亿美元 27 00:01:10,090 --> 00:01:14,340 但是呢近期市场明显吃不动这么大的融资需求 28 00:01:14,340 --> 00:01:18,478 马斯克旗下的SPACEX上市后股价表现并不理想 29 00:01:18,478 --> 00:01:22,019 再加上auto pick OpenAI都在排队等钱 30 00:01:22,019 --> 00:01:25,118 银行家顾问团队就劝那个奥特曼哈 31 00:01:25,118 --> 00:01:27,259 散户的钱包已经被榨干了 32 00:01:27,259 --> 00:01:29,338 建议要么降价上市 33 00:01:29,338 --> 00:01:32,239 要么等到2027年流动性回来嗯 34 00:01:32,239 --> 00:01:33,819 但是奥特曼是个狠人 35 00:01:33,819 --> 00:01:35,920 死活咬定1万亿不松口 36 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:37,040 拒绝贱卖 37 00:01:37,040 --> 00:01:39,079 于是这桩婚事就只能延后 38 00:01:39,079 --> 00:01:42,239 更深层的原因呢是美联储缩表预期下 39 00:01:42,239 --> 00:01:44,060 流动性开始变得珍贵 40 00:01:44,060 --> 00:01:45,459 现在池子太浅 41 00:01:45,459 --> 00:01:48,299 无法同时吸纳spacex on to pk 42 00:01:48,299 --> 00:01:51,950 还有open i这三个万亿美元级别的吞金兽 43 00:01:51,950 --> 00:01:54,069 嗯若是强行上桌 44 00:01:54,069 --> 00:01:55,709 只会把全场掀翻 45 00:01:55,709 --> 00:01:58,629 所以延期反而是最理性的选择 46 00:01:58,629 --> 00:01:59,629 受此影响 47 00:01:59,629 --> 00:02:02,549 持有鹏AI13%股份的软银呢 48 00:02:02,549 --> 00:02:06,200 今天在东京证券交易所立即就遭到了清算 49 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:08,400 股价重挫约13% 50 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:09,780 华尔街大投行 51 00:02:09,780 --> 00:02:12,680 高盛于摩根斯坦利的股价也双双大跌 52 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:14,479 因为少了一个大项目 53 00:02:14,479 --> 00:02:15,680 不过这两家投行 54 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:19,479 已经从SPACEX的史诗级IPO中大赚了一笔 55 00:02:19,479 --> 00:02:22,560 而且ENTROPICK也选定了大摩和高盛 56 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:25,330 牵头他们的那个IPO项目 57 00:02:25,330 --> 00:02:26,650 所以问题不大哈 58 00:02:26,650 --> 00:02:28,969 更何况OpenAI只是推迟上市 59 00:02:28,969 --> 00:02:30,340 又不是不上市了 60 00:02:30,340 --> 00:02:32,620 相比于亚洲市场的惨烈 61 00:02:32,620 --> 00:02:35,750 美股大盘这一边还是展现了极强的韧性 62 00:02:35,750 --> 00:02:37,469 三大股指大幅低开后 63 00:02:37,469 --> 00:02:40,229 大盘很快就从深坑里爬出来 64 00:02:40,229 --> 00:02:41,409 sport ga指出 65 00:02:41,409 --> 00:02:44,430 当前做市三处于做多伽马状态 66 00:02:44,430 --> 00:02:45,949 这是大盘今天低开后 67 00:02:45,949 --> 00:02:48,590 没有演变成崩盘的核心原因 68 00:02:48,590 --> 00:02:51,129 标普500只要跌破7200点 69 00:02:51,129 --> 00:02:54,870 做市商的期权对冲盘就会变成自动化买单 70 00:02:54,870 --> 00:02:57,310 而一旦冲过7400点呢 71 00:02:57,310 --> 00:03:01,250 他们就会逢高卖出这种机械化的低卖高卖 72 00:03:01,250 --> 00:03:04,710 强行把大盘锁在了这个震荡区间里 73 00:03:04,710 --> 00:03:07,189 使得走势呢趋于平稳 74 00:03:07,189 --> 00:03:09,310 今天尾盘的剧烈波动时 75 00:03:09,310 --> 00:03:11,840 因为罗素指数今天盘后大换 76 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:13,919 英伟达将取代苹果 77 00:03:13,919 --> 00:03:17,800 成为罗素1000指数里的第一大权重股 78 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:22,139 spacex coral wave等AI新规也被同步塞进了指数 79 00:03:22,599 --> 00:03:27,479 本次罗素重组呢恰逢季末养老金再平衡窗口 80 00:03:27,479 --> 00:03:29,620 最终罗素指数的被动基金 81 00:03:29,620 --> 00:03:32,000 必须在收盘前完成调仓 82 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:35,099 双重资金流在尾盘疯狂对焦 83 00:03:35,099 --> 00:03:37,080 导致这波动显著放大 84 00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:39,229 但是并不代表真实的方向 85 00:03:39,229 --> 00:03:41,590 更多只是资金机械换仓 86 00:03:41,590 --> 00:03:46,240 这种被动资金流往往呢会持续到下周初就结束 87 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:50,360 最终收市股纳指指微跌了0.24% 88 00:03:52,930 --> 00:03:56,250 标普500指数今天收窄7354点 89 00:03:56,250 --> 00:03:58,330 本周累跌1.9% 90 00:03:58,330 --> 00:04:00,900 五周K走出了四连阴 91 00:04:00,900 --> 00:04:03,360 而且收在十周均线下方 92 00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:07,289 日线级别指数处于50日均线下方啊 93 00:04:07,289 --> 00:04:12,030 这都证明这个短期趋势正在进一步的走弱 94 00:04:12,030 --> 00:04:14,289 大盘的这一轮震荡去杠杆 95 00:04:14,289 --> 00:04:18,170 预计呢要在6月30号在平衡窗口关闭了 96 00:04:18,170 --> 00:04:19,709 才会告一段落 97 00:04:19,709 --> 00:04:21,290 下周还有两天哈 98 00:04:21,290 --> 00:04:23,288 这个养老金呢才会卖完 99 00:04:23,288 --> 00:04:26,848 不排除在这6月份的最后两天 100 00:04:26,848 --> 00:04:28,928 大盘可能会加速调整 101 00:04:28,928 --> 00:04:31,350 做出一记假破位的动作 102 00:04:31,350 --> 00:04:33,350 等进入7月份了 103 00:04:33,350 --> 00:04:37,389 随着新季度资金流入以及这个国庆节来临 104 00:04:37,389 --> 00:04:39,689 行情呢才会开始转好 105 00:04:39,689 --> 00:04:43,449 今年是美国建国250周年大庆哈 106 00:04:43,449 --> 00:04:44,949 华尔街的政治新正确 107 00:04:44,949 --> 00:04:48,360 不允许大盘在国庆这个节骨眼上拉稀 108 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:50,660 更何况还有川普大师盯着 109 00:04:50,660 --> 00:04:53,879 所以呢短期震荡大家别太害怕 110 00:04:53,879 --> 00:04:55,809 如果仓位控制好的话 111 00:04:55,809 --> 00:04:59,689 嗯其实不需要在50日均线下方盲目割肉的哈 112 00:04:59,689 --> 00:05:00,968 但是这个月底之前呢 113 00:05:00,968 --> 00:05:03,908 也不要在日内反弹的时候就急着去追高 114 00:05:03,908 --> 00:05:08,668 耐心等进入了7月份之后的季节性修复 115 00:05:08,668 --> 00:05:09,709 如今的市场 116 00:05:09,709 --> 00:05:11,928 各种衍生品AI算法 117 00:05:11,928 --> 00:05:12,949 川普画线 118 00:05:12,949 --> 00:05:15,060 把趋势其实做得很混乱 119 00:05:15,060 --> 00:05:17,819 嗯股市行情变得越来越不稳定了 120 00:05:17,819 --> 00:05:22,519 传统的什么pee macd k d g其实我都很少用了 121 00:05:22,519 --> 00:05:23,399 巴菲特指标 122 00:05:23,399 --> 00:05:25,480 那更是直接扔进垃圾桶哈 123 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:26,100 看的我不看 124 00:05:26,100 --> 00:05:30,870 因为信这个的人早就已经踏空了整整3年牛市 125 00:05:30,870 --> 00:05:33,990 现在大家看到更多的是市场的伽马结构 126 00:05:33,990 --> 00:05:34,569 仓位 127 00:05:34,569 --> 00:05:38,829 资金流以及AI产业链里面的利益重新分配呃 128 00:05:38,829 --> 00:05:39,899 每隔几天 129 00:05:39,899 --> 00:05:42,019 其实这个市场就要搞一次 130 00:05:42,019 --> 00:05:44,360 AI到底爱不爱我的压力测试 131 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:46,939 之前是因为他财报测试呃 132 00:05:46,939 --> 00:05:48,399 博通的业绩测试 133 00:05:48,399 --> 00:05:50,180 美光科技的财报测试 134 00:05:50,180 --> 00:05:53,160 最新这次是苹果的涨价测试哈 135 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:57,189 反正每次呢都是给市场短期波动制造理由 136 00:05:57,189 --> 00:05:59,370 美银策略师迈克哈里斯认为 137 00:05:59,370 --> 00:06:02,399 七姐妹一天MAGS的60美元 138 00:06:02,399 --> 00:06:07,560 是目前整个AI超级权重股情绪的重要生命线 139 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:09,120 一旦这个位置告破 140 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:13,490 市场对于七巨头的信心将会出现真正的松动 141 00:06:13,490 --> 00:06:15,670 由于现在整个AI产业链 142 00:06:15,670 --> 00:06:18,850 其实都是靠五巨头的资本开支支撑着 143 00:06:18,850 --> 00:06:21,798 如果他们彻底的走熊了 144 00:06:21,798 --> 00:06:23,999 就不仅仅只是抽血哈 145 00:06:23,999 --> 00:06:25,598 就彻底这个垮了 146 00:06:25,598 --> 00:06:27,798 但其他板块想要上行也会变得困难 147 00:06:27,798 --> 00:06:29,680 因为没人买单了呃 148 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:33,509 就会进而引发更广泛的风险资产抛售呃 149 00:06:33,509 --> 00:06:36,110 昨天苹果敢第一个站出来 150 00:06:40,069 --> 00:06:41,149 所以就把它排出来 151 00:06:41,149 --> 00:06:45,158 因为他手里没有捏着几万个烫手的算力芯片 152 00:06:45,158 --> 00:06:46,038 掀翻桌子 153 00:06:46,038 --> 00:06:47,730 毫无心理负担嗯 154 00:06:47,730 --> 00:06:49,290 其他的几个巨头就不同了 155 00:06:49,290 --> 00:06:51,089 都绑在AI战车上哈 156 00:06:51,089 --> 00:06:53,490 哪怕都被抽血抽的嗷嗷叫了 157 00:06:53,490 --> 00:06:54,699 都不敢喊停 158 00:06:54,699 --> 00:06:56,300 因为他最近也很委屈啊 159 00:06:56,300 --> 00:06:57,939 明明自己也是卖铲子的 160 00:06:57,939 --> 00:07:01,180 结果呢资本市场天天把他当提款机来用 161 00:07:01,180 --> 00:07:02,459 就是被硬吸 162 00:07:02,459 --> 00:07:03,579 华尔街机构们 163 00:07:03,579 --> 00:07:04,160 一年前 164 00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:07,920 就已经把他的目标价喊到二百五十三百美元 165 00:07:07,920 --> 00:07:11,189 如今股价却跌到了192美元附近 166 00:07:11,189 --> 00:07:13,649 嗯这里呢不仅有这条年线 167 00:07:13,649 --> 00:07:17,629 同时也是3月反转上升以来的这个0.6 168 00:07:17,629 --> 00:07:19,439 一八黄金分割线哈 169 00:07:19,439 --> 00:07:22,439 是最后也是最关键的一个支撑位 170 00:07:22,439 --> 00:07:25,699 要么股价跌到这里就开始绝地反转 171 00:07:25,699 --> 00:07:27,699 这个呃一路升上去 172 00:07:27,699 --> 00:07:29,470 要么就跌破死翘翘 173 00:07:29,470 --> 00:07:32,430 非邦指数今天重挫5.3% 174 00:07:32,430 --> 00:07:34,410 本周内跌了近8% 175 00:07:34,410 --> 00:07:37,009 周K收出一根实体大阴线哈 176 00:07:37,009 --> 00:07:38,879 测试这条五周均线 177 00:07:38,879 --> 00:07:42,519 这也是支撑本轮上涨的趋势线 178 00:07:42,519 --> 00:07:44,240 所以还是很重要 179 00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:45,259 很关键的时候 180 00:07:45,259 --> 00:07:47,420 花起就赶紧出来打圆场 181 00:07:47,420 --> 00:07:48,240 安慰大家 182 00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:50,180 美联储现在还没真正加息 183 00:07:50,180 --> 00:07:52,798 缩表还没有刺破这个泡沫 184 00:07:52,798 --> 00:07:54,218 牛市依然完好 185 00:07:54,218 --> 00:07:57,718 现在就说AI交易已经结束还为时过早 186 00:07:57,718 --> 00:07:59,899 半导体还可以继续走高 187 00:07:59,899 --> 00:08:01,399 给大家几个打气 188 00:08:01,399 --> 00:08:04,300 昨天被苹果一句话砸场子之后呢 189 00:08:04,300 --> 00:08:07,430 今天光模块和存储就遭遇了抛售 190 00:08:07,430 --> 00:08:10,310 前期大火的官通信aa oi 191 00:08:10,310 --> 00:08:13,658 股价已经较月初回撤了40%哈 192 00:08:13,658 --> 00:08:16,718 其实公司基本面没有发生什么重大变化 193 00:08:16,718 --> 00:08:19,560 唯一变化的就是它的股价之前涨得太快了 194 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:24,519 很多人跟着ex平台上的白毛股神serenity呃 195 00:08:24,519 --> 00:08:27,040 重仓了光通信板块 196 00:08:27,040 --> 00:08:29,500 如果是前几个月买的还好哈 197 00:08:29,500 --> 00:08:31,160 其实这个赚了很多钱 198 00:08:31,160 --> 00:08:32,519 盈利还能扛得住 199 00:08:32,519 --> 00:08:35,759 如果是6月份才高位接盘进去的 200 00:08:35,759 --> 00:08:37,899 那现在已经欲哭无泪了 201 00:08:37,899 --> 00:08:39,940 虽然呢serenity 202 00:08:39,940 --> 00:08:43,779 他的很多产业链分析的确值得学习 203 00:08:43,779 --> 00:08:48,019 但是呢任何草根股神一旦粉丝多了 204 00:08:48,019 --> 00:08:49,019 影响力大了 205 00:08:49,019 --> 00:08:53,159 就会沦为华尔街精准定点清楚的活靶子哈 206 00:08:53,159 --> 00:08:56,289 当年的木头姐就是一个前车之鉴 207 00:08:56,289 --> 00:08:58,450 所以他的观点咱们可以参考 208 00:08:58,450 --> 00:09:00,909 但是作业不能够照抄呀 209 00:09:00,909 --> 00:09:02,870 美光科技股价今年回落 210 00:09:02,870 --> 00:09:07,389 昨天顾客将苹果涨价归咎于内存成本太高 211 00:09:07,389 --> 00:09:09,700 那美观就不服气哈 212 00:09:09,700 --> 00:09:11,019 呃立即嘲讽 213 00:09:11,019 --> 00:09:14,419 苹果当初在2023年存储行业低谷期 214 00:09:14,419 --> 00:09:17,609 利用市场优势残酷压低报价 215 00:09:17,609 --> 00:09:21,129 导致这个存储全行业投资都停滞了 216 00:09:21,129 --> 00:09:24,359 这才引发了如今存储芯片的短缺状况 217 00:09:24,359 --> 00:09:26,558 所以现在风水轮流转了 218 00:09:26,558 --> 00:09:27,558 轮到我们赚钱了 219 00:09:27,558 --> 00:09:28,438 有问题吗 220 00:09:28,438 --> 00:09:30,899 这种公开的互相指责呢 221 00:09:30,899 --> 00:09:33,330 揭示了这个当下美股嗯 222 00:09:33,330 --> 00:09:37,950 AI产业链正在进入利润重新分配的阶段哈 223 00:09:37,950 --> 00:09:42,590 过去几年下游科技巨头们掌握了定价权 224 00:09:42,590 --> 00:09:47,899 而如今呢上游核心硬件开始从新拿回话语权了 225 00:09:51,350 --> 00:09:54,970 现在演变成一场赤裸裸的利润争夺战 226 00:09:54,970 --> 00:09:57,850 有人赚钱就一定有人的利润缩水 227 00:09:57,850 --> 00:10:01,059 这其实也是发展过程中的一个必然的阶段 228 00:10:01,059 --> 00:10:03,700 目前呢多数机构还是很看好美观 229 00:10:03,700 --> 00:10:05,580 把美观的目标价都已经高 230 00:10:05,580 --> 00:10:07,269 看到了2000美元 231 00:10:07,269 --> 00:10:11,029 在海力士美股ADR上市抽血之前哈 232 00:10:11,029 --> 00:10:13,370 美国本土的美光科技与闪迪 233 00:10:13,370 --> 00:10:16,370 依然还是这条街上最暴力的印钞机 234 00:10:16,370 --> 00:10:18,629 半导体获利兑现的时候呢 235 00:10:18,629 --> 00:10:20,549 软件股就立即接办 236 00:10:20,549 --> 00:10:21,049 微软 237 00:10:22,870 --> 00:10:25,089 终于哈这都跌了多久了 238 00:10:25,089 --> 00:10:27,889 今天涨了5.7%嗯 239 00:10:27,889 --> 00:10:31,240 七胶漆面上的大空头麦克berry喊话 240 00:10:31,240 --> 00:10:33,679 350美元是绝佳买点 241 00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:35,259 他大举买入了微软 242 00:10:35,259 --> 00:10:38,950 2028年12月到期的长期看涨期权 243 00:10:38,950 --> 00:10:39,889 买得这么远 244 00:10:39,889 --> 00:10:42,350 说明他信心也并不是很大嘛 245 00:10:42,350 --> 00:10:44,688 但是呢嗯买这么远的话 246 00:10:44,688 --> 00:10:46,869 这个时间溢价就几乎没有了 247 00:10:46,869 --> 00:10:50,789 所以相当于就等这个持有正股一样了 248 00:10:50,789 --> 00:10:52,870 只是稍微加了一点小小的杠杆 249 00:10:52,870 --> 00:10:55,669 这个service snow股价今天也大力反弹了 250 00:10:55,669 --> 00:10:57,029 9.85% 251 00:10:57,029 --> 00:10:59,750 可以将它和半导体仓位作为对冲哈 252 00:10:59,750 --> 00:11:00,950 也可以配置一些的 253 00:11:00,950 --> 00:11:03,129 反正至今现在大家也看出来了 254 00:11:03,129 --> 00:11:06,580 一直都在软件与硬件之间来回的挪腾 255 00:11:06,580 --> 00:11:08,659 总有一边能够吃到肉的哈 256 00:11:08,659 --> 00:11:11,379 而且现在这个ServiceNow价格也不贵 257 00:11:11,379 --> 00:11:13,059 不用仓位太多 258 00:11:13,059 --> 00:11:14,159 就配置了一点点 259 00:11:14,159 --> 00:11:14,899 可以啊 260 00:11:14,899 --> 00:11:19,710 嗯康宁GLAW股价本周累涨14.4% 261 00:11:19,710 --> 00:11:22,309 公司在首尔举办的AI数据中心官 262 00:11:22,309 --> 00:11:24,690 通信与互联技术大会上 263 00:11:24,690 --> 00:11:29,169 展示了一套将玻璃基板与光学互联相结合的 264 00:11:29,169 --> 00:11:30,950 下一代CPU架构 265 00:11:30,950 --> 00:11:33,850 玻璃基板呢因为它优异的平整度 266 00:11:33,850 --> 00:11:37,250 低介电损耗和高密度布线能力 267 00:11:37,250 --> 00:11:41,029 将被视为下一代先进封装的重要方向 268 00:11:41,029 --> 00:11:43,259 满足下一代数据中心的需求 269 00:11:43,259 --> 00:11:46,700 canning的这个强势其实也表明了AI产业链啊 270 00:11:46,700 --> 00:11:49,559 如今正在不断的向更上游扩散 271 00:11:49,559 --> 00:11:52,100 太空概念股呢今天明显回暖 272 00:11:52,100 --> 00:11:55,129 小火箭ROCLAB股价涨了4.8% 273 00:11:55,129 --> 00:11:59,370 NASA选定ok lab执行太阳与地球科学探测任务 274 00:11:59,370 --> 00:12:04,830 明年年初开始执行三次电子号火箭发射服务嗯 275 00:12:04,830 --> 00:12:06,070 股价近两年来 276 00:12:06,070 --> 00:12:09,309 他每次中期回撤都很大哈 277 00:12:09,309 --> 00:12:13,120 这个跌幅它都在年线附近获得支撑 278 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:16,470 然后再重新开启一轮新的上升趋势 279 00:12:16,470 --> 00:12:18,669 这次股价也跌落到年线附近了 280 00:12:18,669 --> 00:12:20,889 较高点呢回落大约47% 281 00:12:20,889 --> 00:12:22,080 几乎腰斩了 282 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:23,879 所以咱们接下来密切关注 283 00:12:23,879 --> 00:12:26,419 这条年线能否再次发挥作用哈 284 00:12:26,419 --> 00:12:29,500 嗯随着这个马斯克的space x30之后 285 00:12:29,500 --> 00:12:32,120 带动了整个产业的关注度提升 286 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:35,379 未来商业航天呢仍然值得我们持续跟踪 287 00:12:35,379 --> 00:12:37,179 也许中间会有一些震荡 288 00:12:37,179 --> 00:12:38,360 会有一些波折 289 00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:41,490 但是呢它这个市场热度不会彻底的没掉 290 00:12:41,490 --> 00:12:43,970 比特币最大企业持有者MSTR 291 00:12:43,970 --> 00:12:46,509 股价自去年7月以来持续下跌 292 00:12:46,509 --> 00:12:49,139 本月当月又跌了48% 293 00:12:49,139 --> 00:12:52,120 把无数抄底的勇者全都给买了进去 294 00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:56,039 比特币的暴跌呢就重创了该股公司的融资结构 295 00:12:56,039 --> 00:12:57,578 也引发了市场担忧 296 00:12:57,578 --> 00:12:59,019 就一些人担心 297 00:12:59,019 --> 00:13:01,418 这个公司可能会进入负反馈循环哈 298 00:13:01,418 --> 00:13:04,409 被迫出售比特币以应对资金压力 299 00:13:04,409 --> 00:13:08,190 过去一个月市场的看空情绪呢持续加剧 300 00:13:08,190 --> 00:13:12,080 它的优先股STRC甚至已经跌破了呃 301 00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:14,879 这个面值到了73.6美元 302 00:13:14,879 --> 00:13:17,619 多家机构嗯已经急得高喊 303 00:13:17,619 --> 00:13:19,759 让他赶紧停止买币 304 00:13:19,759 --> 00:13:21,578 稳住现金流再说 305 00:13:21,578 --> 00:13:23,690 就先生存下去哈 306 00:13:23,690 --> 00:13:26,210 跨境支付与金融科技公司 307 00:13:26,210 --> 00:13:28,830 外资股价今年大涨了10.2% 308 00:13:28,830 --> 00:13:33,139 公司宣布将会启动5亿美元的股票回购计划呃 309 00:13:33,139 --> 00:13:37,269 其中约40%将用于员工持股信托 310 00:13:37,269 --> 00:13:40,590 以抵消股权激励带来的摊薄效应 311 00:13:40,590 --> 00:13:41,549 2026财年 312 00:13:41,549 --> 00:13:42,710 公司业绩强劲 313 00:13:42,710 --> 00:13:44,320 净收入入25亿美元 314 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:45,700 同比增长19% 315 00:13:45,700 --> 00:13:47,850 税前利润6.6亿美元 316 00:13:47,850 --> 00:13:50,090 税前利润率26.4% 317 00:13:50,090 --> 00:13:52,529 超出了公司自身设定的20% 318 00:13:52,529 --> 00:13:55,500 到25%的这个呃指引区间 319 00:13:55,500 --> 00:13:59,100 这份业绩呢给了公司回报股东的底气 320 00:13:59,100 --> 00:14:00,850 嗯最后总结一下吧 321 00:14:00,850 --> 00:14:04,318 我认为在这个流动性不足的环境之下 322 00:14:04,318 --> 00:14:05,839 美股市场最大的矛盾 323 00:14:05,839 --> 00:14:07,798 已经不是宏观经济怎么样了 324 00:14:07,798 --> 00:14:10,889 而是AI产业链内部的利润分配 325 00:14:10,889 --> 00:14:14,029 上游呢希望涨价赚钱对吧 326 00:14:14,029 --> 00:14:15,049 赚一大笔 327 00:14:15,049 --> 00:14:17,490 下游呢当然希望控制成本 328 00:14:17,490 --> 00:14:19,610 而投资者们现在就是天天盯着 329 00:14:19,610 --> 00:14:22,840 巨头们有没有缩减这个资本支出 330 00:14:22,840 --> 00:14:24,159 短期内嗯 331 00:14:24,159 --> 00:14:28,620 只要没有出现某个巨头公开下调资本开支 332 00:14:28,620 --> 00:14:29,980 这种真正的利空哈 333 00:14:29,980 --> 00:14:32,220 AI主线依然不会结束 334 00:14:32,220 --> 00:14:34,100 但是呢玩法已经变了 335 00:14:34,100 --> 00:14:36,200 过去是闭着眼睛买AI 336 00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:38,080 未来就是精选AI啦 337 00:14:38,080 --> 00:14:40,799 板块内部的分化只会越来越剧烈 338 00:14:40,799 --> 00:14:43,179 这个利润争夺会越来越残酷哈 339 00:14:43,179 --> 00:14:46,440 AI牛市已经开始进入淘汰赛了 340 00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:49,100 嗯行今天我们就说到这里吧 341 00:14:49,100 --> 00:14:50,639 那祝大家这个周末愉快 342 00:14:50,639 --> 00:14:52,039 我们下次见拜拜
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